Press Release
December 16, 2015

Duterte, Poe in tight race for presidency: Magdalo survey

Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and Senator Grace Poe are now in a tight race for the top position in the country according to the latest result of the Magdalo pre-election survey.

Duterte, who recently decided to run for president, scored 31.9 percent in the survey, while Poe, who previously topped surveys prior to the disqualification issues, scored 26 percent.

Congressman Francisco Ashley Acedillo, Magdalo party list representative, explained "In this re-election survey, which was conducted last December 9-11, we provided respondents with the list of known candidates for president/vice president, and they were asked 'If elections would be held today, who among the following candidates would you vote for?'"

"One of the observations during the survey is that a significant number of respondents presumed that Senator Poe was already disqualified in running for President, or were asking if she was already disqualified. Since our researchers are not allowed to engage with the respondents to avoid influencing their answers, this issue was not clarified to them," Acedillo further explained.

Following Duterte and Poe were Vice President Jejomar Binay with 23.6 percent; former DILG Secretary Mar Roxas with 13.5 percent; Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago with 4 percent; and former Ambassador Roy Señeres with 0.1 percent.

"We expect that these figures and the candidates' ranking will continue to notably change, especially when the COMELEC en banc and the Supreme Court, eventually, will release their decision on Sen. Poe's and Mayor Duterte's candidacy," Acedillo added.

Meanwhile, Senator Alan Peter Cayetano is the biggest gainer in the vice presidential result of the same survey with 16.6 percent from last October's 11 percent.

Senator Chiz Escudero remains to top the VP survey with 28.8 percent, though his numbers are continuously declining based from previous surveys; followed by the Senator Ferdinand "Bongbong"Marcos with 22.3 percent, which also declined based on October survey's result.

Coming in 4th place was Congressman Leni Robredo with 11.7 percent; followed by Senator Antonio Trillanes IV with 10.6 percent; and Senator Gregorio Honasan with 8 percent.

The survey employed a multi-stage probability sampling design with almost 3000 respondents distributed across the different regions of the country, and has a margin of error of 1.8%.

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